AEK Athens FC vs Levadiakos: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes AEK Athens FC the pick at 64% for AEK Athens FC vs Levadiakos. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Levadiakos travel to AEK Athens FC on 8 November 2026 at Allwyn Arena, Athens. AEK Athens FC are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 64%. This matchday 10 fixture in Super League 1 is listed as AEK Athens FC - Levadiakos. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
AEK Athens FC: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win and one defeat before that. That is one win, no draws and three defeats from the last four, worth 3 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (32 scored and 15 conceded in 18 matches, 1.78 and 0.83 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 62.3 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +16.
Levadiakos: they come in on the back of a win, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (23 scored and 24 conceded in 15 matches, 1.53 and 1.6 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 39.7 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -8.
Side by side
| Statistic | AEK Athens FC | Levadiakos |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 11th |
| Goal difference | +16 | -8 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWL | WDDLL |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 10 | 3 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 18 | 15 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.78 / 0.83 | 1.53 / 1.6 |
| Points per game (2025) | 2.11 | 1.4 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 62.3 | 39.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 64% | 13% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: AEK Athens FC 62.3 versus Levadiakos 39.7, a gap of 22.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 50%.
- First goal: Leans AEK Athens FC's way at 62%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards AEK Athens FC at 64%, a gap of 40 percentage points to the next outcome. Levadiakos' stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts AEK Athens FC's way, especially at Allwyn Arena.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: AEK Athens FC or Levadiakos?
AEK Athens FC, with an implied win probability of roughly 64%. The full split is 64% AEK Athens FC, 24% the draw and 13% Levadiakos.
When and where is AEK Athens FC vs Levadiakos being played?
8 November 2026 at Allwyn Arena, Athens, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have AEK Athens FC and Levadiakos met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of AEK Athens FC and Levadiakos?
AEK Athens FC have taken 3 points from their last four (LLWL), Levadiakos 5 from theirs (WDDLL). Most recently AEK Athens FC took a 0-2 defeat away at Panathinaikos and Levadiakos a 3-0 win at home to Aris Thessalonikis.
How many goals are expected in AEK Athens FC vs Levadiakos?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 2.40 for AEK Athens FC and 0.60 for Levadiakos. It rates over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 50%, so its call is no.