Aris Thessalonikis vs Panetolikos — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Aris Thessalonikis the pick at 59% for Aris Thessalonikis vs Panetolikos. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Aris Thessalonikis host Panetolikos on 7 November 2026 at Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium, Thessaloniki. Aris Thessalonikis are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 59%. This matchday 10 fixture in Super League 1 is listed as Aris Thessalonikis - Panetolikos. Kick-off is 17:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Aris Thessalonikis: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following three wins before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 10 conceded in 13 matches, 1.38 and 0.77 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 57.3 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of -4.
Panetolikos: they come in on five defeats in a row. That is no wins, no draws and five defeats from the last five, worth 0 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 24 conceded in 20 matches, 1.0 and 1.2 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 22.8 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -9.
Side by side
| Statistic | Aris Thessalonikis | Panetolikos |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 10th |
| Goal difference | -4 | -9 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWWW | LLLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 0 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 9 | 1 / 13 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 13 | 20 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.38 / 0.77 | 1.0 / 1.2 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.85 | 1.05 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 57.3 | 22.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 59% | 17% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Aris Thessalonikis 57.3 versus Panetolikos 22.8, a gap of 34.6, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.40, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Aris Thessalonikis' way at 62%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Aris Thessalonikis at 59%, a gap of 35 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Aris Thessalonikis's way, especially at Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Aris Thessalonikis or Panetolikos?
Aris Thessalonikis, with an implied win probability of roughly 59%. The full split is 59% Aris Thessalonikis, 24% the draw and 17% Panetolikos.
When and where is Aris Thessalonikis vs Panetolikos being played?
7 November 2026 at Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium, Thessaloniki, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Aris Thessalonikis and Panetolikos?
Panetolikos 0-1 Aris Thessalonikis on 31 January 2026.
What is the recent form of Aris Thessalonikis and Panetolikos?
Aris Thessalonikis have taken 9 points from their last five (LLWWW), Panetolikos 0 from theirs (LLLLL). Most recently Aris Thessalonikis took a 0-3 defeat away at Levadiakos and Panetolikos a 0-1 defeat at home to OFI.
How many goals are expected in Aris Thessalonikis vs Panetolikos?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.40 — 1.00 for Aris Thessalonikis and 0.40 for Panetolikos. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.