Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Olympiakos Piraeus the pick at 58% for Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
PAOK travel to Olympiakos Piraeus on 8 November 2026 at Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus. Olympiakos Piraeus are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 58%. This matchday 10 fixture in Super League 1 is listed as Olympiakos Piraeus - PAOK. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Olympiakos Piraeus: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (13 scored and 6 conceded in eight matches, 1.62 and 0.75 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 77.8 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +11.
PAOK: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (10 scored and 8 conceded in seven matches, 1.43 and 1.14 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.5 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +6.
Side by side
| Statistic | Olympiakos Piraeus | PAOK |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 3rd |
| Goal difference | +11 | +6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWWW | WWLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 15 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 13 / 2 | 9 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 4 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 8 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.62 / 0.75 | 1.43 / 1.14 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.75 | 1.71 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 77.8 | 56.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 58% | 19% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 3) | 0 | 1 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 3): Olympiakos Piraeus none wins, PAOK one win, two draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Olympiakos Piraeus 1-1 PAOK on 10 May 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in two of the three — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Pre-match form ratings: Olympiakos Piraeus 77.8 versus PAOK 56.5, a gap of 21.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.80, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Olympiakos Piraeus' way at 63%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Olympiakos Piraeus at 58%, a gap of 36 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals and draw probability stays material given the head-to-head draw rate. Baseline expectation tilts Olympiakos Piraeus's way, especially at Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Olympiakos Piraeus or PAOK?
Olympiakos Piraeus, with an implied win probability of roughly 58%. The full split is 58% Olympiakos Piraeus, 23% the draw and 19% PAOK.
When and where is Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK being played?
8 November 2026 at Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Olympiakos Piraeus and PAOK?
Olympiakos Piraeus 1-1 PAOK on 10 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Olympiakos Piraeus and PAOK?
Olympiakos Piraeus have taken 15 points from their last five (WWWWW), PAOK 9 from theirs (WWLWL). Most recently Olympiakos Piraeus took a 3-2 win away at Kifisia and PAOK a 2-1 win at home to Asteras Tripolis.
How many goals are expected in Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.80 — 2.20 for Olympiakos Piraeus and 1.60 for PAOK. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.