Brisbane Roar vs Auckland — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between Brisbane Roar and Auckland on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Brisbane Roar host Auckland on 30 October 2026 at Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane. Brisbane Roar are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This matchday 3 fixture in A-League is listed as Brisbane Roar - Auckland. Kick-off is 09:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Brisbane Roar: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (17 scored and 32 conceded in 17 matches, 1.0 and 1.88 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.2 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +1.
Auckland: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (35 scored and 22 conceded in 21 matches, 1.67 and 1.05 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.8 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of -1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Brisbane Roar | Auckland |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 6th |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLWW | LWLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 16 / 8 | 6 / 12 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 17 | 21 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.0 / 1.88 | 1.67 / 1.05 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.47 | 1.57 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 35.2 | 34.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 38% | 34% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.40, over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Brisbane Roar's way at 48%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Brisbane Roar is the nominal pick at 38%, but the three results sit close to even. Brisbane Roar's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Brisbane Roar's way, especially at Suncorp Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Brisbane Roar or Auckland?
Brisbane Roar, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 38% Brisbane Roar, 27% the draw and 34% Auckland.
When and where is Brisbane Roar vs Auckland being played?
30 October 2026 at Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane, kick-off 09:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Brisbane Roar and Auckland?
Brisbane Roar 0-2 Auckland on 09 January 2026.
What is the recent form of Brisbane Roar and Auckland?
Brisbane Roar have taken 12 points from their last five (WWLWW), Auckland 3 from theirs (LWLLL). Most recently Brisbane Roar took a 2-1 win at home to Perth Glory and Auckland a 2-5 defeat away at Western Sydney Wanderers.
How many goals are expected in Brisbane Roar vs Auckland?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.40 — 1.40 for Brisbane Roar and 2.00 for Auckland. It rates over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.