Perth Glory vs Adelaide United: match summary, form and prediction
There is barely anything between Perth Glory and Adelaide United on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Perth Glory face Adelaide United on 1 November 2026 at HBF Park, Perth. Perth Glory are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 35%. This matchday 3 fixture in A-League is listed as Perth Glory - Adelaide United. Kick-off is 08:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Perth Glory: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win and one draw before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (22 scored and 22 conceded in 15 matches, 1.47 and 1.47 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 24.5 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -2.
Adelaide United: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (27 scored and 20 conceded in 15 matches, 1.8 and 1.33 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 24.8 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -1.
Side by side
| Statistic | Perth Glory | Adelaide United |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 11th |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLWD | LLWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 8 | 6 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 15 | 15 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.47 / 1.47 | 1.8 / 1.33 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.4 | 1.67 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 24.5 | 24.8 |
| Players unavailable | 10 | 12 |
| Model win probability | 35% | 33% |
What stands out
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 63%.
- First goal: Leans Perth Glory's way at 48%.
The call
The model does not commit. Perth Glory is the nominal pick at 35%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Perth Glory's way, especially at HBF Park.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Perth Glory or Adelaide United?
Perth Glory, with an implied win probability of roughly 35%. The full split is 35% Perth Glory, 31% the draw and 33% Adelaide United.
When and where is Perth Glory vs Adelaide United being played?
1 November 2026 at HBF Park, Perth, kick-off 08:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Perth Glory and Adelaide United?
Adelaide United 4-0 Perth Glory on 20 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Perth Glory and Adelaide United?
Perth Glory have taken 4 points from their last five (LLLWD), Adelaide United 6 from theirs (LLWWL). Most recently Perth Glory took a 1-2 defeat away at Brisbane Roar and Adelaide United a 0-2 defeat at home to Home United.
How many goals are expected in Perth Glory vs Adelaide United?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 1.40 for Perth Glory and 0.80 for Adelaide United. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 63%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists ten players unavailable for Perth Glory and twelve for Adelaide United at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.