Al-Duhail SC vs Lusail City: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Al-Duhail SC the pick at 48% for Al-Duhail SC vs Lusail City. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Al-Duhail SC host Lusail City on 24 October 2026 at Abdullah bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha. Al-Duhail SC are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This matchday 7 fixture in Stars League is listed as Al-Duhail SC - Lusail City. Kick-off is 16:45 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Al-Duhail SC: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored 15 and conceded three, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.8 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +7.
Lusail City: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored two and conceded two, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.5 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of +2.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Al-Duhail SC | Lusail City |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 9th |
| Goal difference | +7 | +2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWWW | DLDWD |
| Points from last 5 | 15 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 15 / 3 | 2 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 56.8 | 45.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 48% | 30% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Al-Duhail SC 56.8 versus Lusail City 45.5, a gap of 11.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.40, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Al-Duhail SC's way at 55%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Al-Duhail SC at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Al-Duhail SC's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Al-Duhail SC's way, especially at Abdullah bin Khalifa Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Al-Duhail SC or Lusail City?
Al-Duhail SC, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 48% Al-Duhail SC, 22% the draw and 30% Lusail City.
When and where is Al-Duhail SC vs Lusail City being played?
24 October 2026 at Abdullah bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha, kick-off 16:45 UTC.
Have Al-Duhail SC and Lusail City met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Al-Duhail SC and Lusail City?
Al-Duhail SC have taken 15 points from their last five (WWWWW), Lusail City 6 from theirs (DLDWD). Most recently Al-Duhail SC took a 3-2 win away at Al Sadd and Lusail City a 0-0 draw at home to Al Shamal.
How many goals are expected in Al-Duhail SC vs Lusail City?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.40 — 1.40 for Al-Duhail SC and 2.00 for Lusail City. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.