Al Wakrah vs Al-Arabi SC: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Al-Arabi SC the pick at 41% for Al Wakrah vs Al-Arabi SC. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Al Wakrah host Al-Arabi SC on 24 October 2026 at Saoud bin Abdulrahman Stadium, Wakla. Al-Arabi SC are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 41%. This matchday 7 fixture in Stars League is listed as Al Wakrah - Al-Arabi SC. Kick-off is 14:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Al Wakrah: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win and two draws before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored nine and conceded four, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.1 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of -1.
Al-Arabi SC: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Across those five they scored eleven and conceded four, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 63.9 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +9.
Side by side
| Statistic | Al Wakrah | Al-Arabi SC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | -1 | +9 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWDWD | WWLDW |
| Points from last 5 | 11 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 4 | 11 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 48.1 | 63.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 36% | 41% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Al Wakrah 48.1 versus Al-Arabi SC 63.9, a gap of 15.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.50, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Al Wakrah's way at 49%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Al-Arabi SC at 41%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Al Wakrah or Al-Arabi SC?
Al-Arabi SC, with an implied win probability of roughly 41%. The full split is 36% Al Wakrah, 23% the draw and 41% Al-Arabi SC.
When and where is Al Wakrah vs Al-Arabi SC being played?
24 October 2026 at Saoud bin Abdulrahman Stadium, Wakla, kick-off 14:30 UTC.
Have Al Wakrah and Al-Arabi SC met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Al Wakrah and Al-Arabi SC?
Al Wakrah have taken 11 points from their last five (WWDWD), Al-Arabi SC 10 from theirs (WWLDW). Most recently Al Wakrah took a 3-0 win away at Al Ahli Doha and Al-Arabi SC a 6-0 win away at Al Shahaniya.
How many goals are expected in Al Wakrah vs Al-Arabi SC?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.50 — 0.50 for Al Wakrah and 1.00 for Al-Arabi SC. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.