Ratchaburi vs Chonburi FC: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Ratchaburi the pick at 46% for Ratchaburi vs Chonburi FC. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Ratchaburi host Chonburi FC on 24 October 2026 at Dragon Solar Park, Ratchaburi. Ratchaburi are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 6 fixture in Thai League 1 is listed as Ratchaburi - Chonburi FC. Kick-off is 12:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Ratchaburi: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Across those five they scored 13 and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 60.1 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +7.
Chonburi FC: they come in on five defeats in a row. That is no wins, no draws and five defeats from the last five, worth 0 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored six and conceded 13, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 23.8 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -5.
Side by side
| Statistic | Ratchaburi | Chonburi FC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 16th |
| Goal difference | +7 | -5 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLWD | LLLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 0 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 13 / 5 | 6 / 13 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 60.1 | 23.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 35% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Ratchaburi 60.1 versus Chonburi FC 23.8, a gap of 36.3, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Twelve places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.00, over 2.5 goals at 75% and both teams to score at 71%.
- First goal: Leans Ratchaburi's way at 52%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Ratchaburi at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Ratchaburi's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Ratchaburi's way, especially at Dragon Solar Park.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Ratchaburi or Chonburi FC?
Ratchaburi, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Ratchaburi, 19% the draw and 35% Chonburi FC.
When and where is Ratchaburi vs Chonburi FC being played?
24 October 2026 at Dragon Solar Park, Ratchaburi, kick-off 12:30 UTC.
Have Ratchaburi and Chonburi FC met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Ratchaburi and Chonburi FC?
Ratchaburi have taken 10 points from their last five (WWLWD), Chonburi FC 0 from theirs (LLLLL). Most recently Ratchaburi took a 4-2 win at home to Pattani and Chonburi FC a 2-5 defeat at home to Pattaya City.
How many goals are expected in Ratchaburi vs Chonburi FC?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.00 — 3.00 for Ratchaburi and 1.00 for Chonburi FC. It rates over 2.5 goals at 75%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 71%, so its call is yes.