Lamphun Warrior vs Sukhothai FC match summary and prediction — Thai League 1
Our model makes Lamphun Warrior the pick at 48% for Lamphun Warrior vs Sukhothai FC. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Lamphun Warrior host Sukhothai FC on 6 November 2026 at 700th Anniversary Stadium, Chiang Mai. Lamphun Warrior are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This matchday 8 fixture in Thai League 1 is listed as Lamphun Warrior - Sukhothai FC. Kick-off is 12:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Lamphun Warrior: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those five they scored 13 and conceded three, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 58.8 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +2.
Sukhothai FC: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded twelve, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 53.5 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -6.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Lamphun Warrior | Sukhothai FC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 11th |
| Goal difference | +2 | -6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWWL | LWLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 13 / 3 | 7 / 12 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 58.8 | 53.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 48% | 33% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Lamphun Warrior 58.8 versus Sukhothai FC 53.5, a gap of 5.3, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 5.83, over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams to score at 63%.
- First goal: Leans Lamphun Warrior's way at 50%.
The call
The model tilts to Lamphun Warrior at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Lamphun Warrior's way, especially at 700th Anniversary Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Lamphun Warrior or Sukhothai FC?
Lamphun Warrior, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 48% Lamphun Warrior, 19% the draw and 33% Sukhothai FC.
When and where is Lamphun Warrior vs Sukhothai FC being played?
6 November 2026 at 700th Anniversary Stadium, Chiang Mai, kick-off 12:00 UTC.
Have Lamphun Warrior and Sukhothai FC met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Lamphun Warrior and Sukhothai FC?
Lamphun Warrior have taken 12 points from their last five (WWWWL), Sukhothai FC 6 from theirs (LWLWL). Most recently Lamphun Warrior took a 4-0 win away at Rayong FC and Sukhothai FC a 0-3 defeat at home to Ayutthaya FC.
How many goals are expected in Lamphun Warrior vs Sukhothai FC?
The model's combined scoring line is 5.83 — 3.50 for Lamphun Warrior and 2.33 for Sukhothai FC. It rates over 2.5 goals at 71%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 63%, so its call is yes.