Uthai Thani vs Chiangrai United — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Uthai Thani the pick at 56% for Uthai Thani vs Chiangrai United. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Chiangrai United travel to Uthai Thani on 7 November 2026 at Uthai Thani Provincial Stadium, Uthai Thani. Uthai Thani are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 56%. This matchday 8 fixture in Thai League 1 is listed as Uthai Thani - Chiangrai United. Kick-off is 11:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Uthai Thani: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored eight and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.8 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +2.
Chiangrai United: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored three and conceded eight, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 27.3 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -4.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Uthai Thani | Chiangrai United |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 15th |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWDW | LDLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 1 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 7 | 3 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 48.8 | 27.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 56% | 26% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Uthai Thani 48.8 versus Chiangrai United 27.3, a gap of 21.5, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.17, over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Uthai Thani's way at 57%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Uthai Thani at 56%, a gap of 30 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Uthai Thani's way, especially at Uthai Thani Provincial Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Uthai Thani or Chiangrai United?
Uthai Thani, with an implied win probability of roughly 56%. The full split is 56% Uthai Thani, 18% the draw and 26% Chiangrai United.
When and where is Uthai Thani vs Chiangrai United being played?
7 November 2026 at Uthai Thani Provincial Stadium, Uthai Thani, kick-off 11:30 UTC.
Have Uthai Thani and Chiangrai United met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Uthai Thani and Chiangrai United?
Uthai Thani have taken 7 points from their last five (LLWDW), Chiangrai United 1 from theirs (LDLLL). Most recently Uthai Thani took a 0-2 defeat away at Bangkok United and Chiangrai United a 0-2 defeat away at BG Pathum United.
How many goals are expected in Uthai Thani vs Chiangrai United?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.17 — 0.67 for Uthai Thani and 0.50 for Chiangrai United. It rates over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.