Ratchaburi vs Buriram United match summary and prediction — Thai League 1
Our model makes Ratchaburi the pick at 43% for Ratchaburi vs Buriram United. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Ratchaburi face Buriram United on 8 November 2026 at Dragon Solar Park, Ratchaburi. Ratchaburi are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This matchday 8 fixture in Thai League 1 is listed as Ratchaburi - Buriram United. Kick-off is 12:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Ratchaburi: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored twelve and conceded nine, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 60.6 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +9.
Buriram United: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored twelve and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 59.3 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +4.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Ratchaburi | Buriram United |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 5th |
| Goal difference | +9 | +4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWDLW | DLWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 12 / 9 | 12 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 60.6 | 59.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 43% | 34% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Ratchaburi 60.6 versus Buriram United 59.3, a gap of 1.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.40, over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 63%.
- First goal: Leans Ratchaburi's way at 51%.
The call
The model edges towards Ratchaburi at 43%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Ratchaburi's way, especially at Dragon Solar Park.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Ratchaburi or Buriram United?
Ratchaburi, with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 43% Ratchaburi, 23% the draw and 34% Buriram United.
When and where is Ratchaburi vs Buriram United being played?
8 November 2026 at Dragon Solar Park, Ratchaburi, kick-off 12:00 UTC.
Have Ratchaburi and Buriram United met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Ratchaburi and Buriram United?
Ratchaburi have taken 7 points from their last five (LWDLW), Buriram United 7 from theirs (DLWWL). Most recently Ratchaburi took a 2-3 defeat away at Vissel Kobe and Buriram United a 1-1 draw away at Gamba Osaka.
How many goals are expected in Ratchaburi vs Buriram United?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.40 — 2.00 for Ratchaburi and 1.40 for Buriram United. It rates over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 63%, so its call is yes.