Richards Bay vs Stellenbosch match summary and prediction — Premier Soccer League
Our model makes Stellenbosch the pick at 38% for Richards Bay vs Stellenbosch. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Richards Bay face Stellenbosch on 4 November 2026 at King Zwelithini Stadium, Durban. Stellenbosch are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This matchday 10 fixture in Premier Soccer League is listed as Richards Bay - Stellenbosch. Kick-off is 17:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Richards Bay: they come in on five defeats in a row. That is no wins, no draws and five defeats from the last five, worth 0 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 17 conceded in 16 matches, 0.75 and 1.06 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 25.8 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -10.
Stellenbosch: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three draws before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (16 scored and 20 conceded in 18 matches, 0.89 and 1.11 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.2 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +1.
Side by side
| Statistic | Richards Bay | Stellenbosch |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 16th | 7th |
| Goal difference | -10 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLLL | WDWDD |
| Points from last 5 | 0 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 17 | 5 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 16 | 18 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.75 / 1.06 | 0.89 / 1.11 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.06 | 1.33 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.8 | 45.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 29% | 38% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Richards Bay 25.8 versus Stellenbosch 45.2, a gap of 19.4, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.60, over 2.5 goals at 38% and both teams to score at 47%.
- First goal: Leans Stellenbosch's way at 50%.
The call
The model edges towards Stellenbosch at 38%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Stellenbosch's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Richards Bay or Stellenbosch?
Stellenbosch, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 29% Richards Bay, 33% the draw and 38% Stellenbosch.
When and where is Richards Bay vs Stellenbosch being played?
4 November 2026 at King Zwelithini Stadium, Durban, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Richards Bay and Stellenbosch?
Richards Bay 2-1 Stellenbosch on 07 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Richards Bay and Stellenbosch?
Richards Bay have taken 0 points from their last five (LLLLL), Stellenbosch 9 from theirs (WDWDD). Most recently Richards Bay took a 1-3 defeat away at Sekhukhune United and Stellenbosch a 2-0 win away at Durban City.
How many goals are expected in Richards Bay vs Stellenbosch?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.60 — 0.80 for Richards Bay and 0.80 for Stellenbosch. It rates over 2.5 goals at 38%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 47%, so its call is no.