TS Galaxy vs Durban City: match summary, form and prediction
There is barely anything between TS Galaxy and Durban City on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
TS Galaxy host Durban City on 4 November 2026 at Mbombela Stadium, Mbombela. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 38%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This matchday 10 fixture in Premier Soccer League is listed as TS Galaxy - Durban City. Kick-off is 17:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
TS Galaxy: they come in on four defeats in a row, following one draw before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 25 conceded in 16 matches, 0.75 and 1.56 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.1 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -5.
Durban City: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (10 scored and 15 conceded in 13 matches, 0.77 and 1.15 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.2 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -2.
Comparison data
| Statistic | TS Galaxy | Durban City |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 10th |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLLD | LWWLD |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 0 / 8 | 8 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 16 | 13 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.75 / 1.56 | 0.77 / 1.15 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.69 | 1.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 37.1 | 41.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 25% | 36% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: TS Galaxy 37.1 versus Durban City 41.2, a gap of 4.1, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 0.80, over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams to score at 48%.
- First goal: Leans Durban City's way at 47%.
The call
The model does not commit. A draw is the nominal pick at 38%, but the three results sit close to even. Durban City's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: TS Galaxy or Durban City?
Neither side. Our model splits it 25% TS Galaxy, 38% the draw and 36% Durban City, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is TS Galaxy vs Durban City being played?
4 November 2026 at Mbombela Stadium, Mbombela, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between TS Galaxy and Durban City?
Durban City 2-0 TS Galaxy on 13 February 2026.
What is the recent form of TS Galaxy and Durban City?
TS Galaxy have taken 1 points from their last five (LLLLD), Durban City 7 from theirs (LWWLD). Most recently TS Galaxy took a 0-3 defeat away at Kaizer Chiefs and Durban City a 0-2 defeat at home to Stellenbosch.
How many goals are expected in TS Galaxy vs Durban City?
The model's combined scoring line is 0.80 — 0.80 for TS Galaxy and 0.00 for Durban City. It rates over 2.5 goals at 40%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 48%, so its call is no.