JKT Tanzania vs Kagera Sugar: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes JKT Tanzania the pick at 46% for JKT Tanzania vs Kagera Sugar. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
JKT Tanzania face Kagera Sugar on 24 October 2026 at Isamuhyo Stadium. JKT Tanzania are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 9 fixture in Ligi kuu Bara is listed as JKT Tanzania - Kagera Sugar. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
JKT Tanzania: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Across those five they scored ten and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 64.8 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of -1.
Kagera Sugar: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored six and conceded seven, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 39.9 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -7.
Comparison data
| Statistic | JKT Tanzania | Kagera Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 14th |
| Goal difference | -1 | -7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLWW | DWDLL |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 5 | 6 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 64.8 | 39.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 28% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: JKT Tanzania 64.8 versus Kagera Sugar 39.9, a gap of 24.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 51%.
- First goal: Leans JKT Tanzania's way at 54%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to JKT Tanzania at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts JKT Tanzania's way, especially at Isamuhyo Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: JKT Tanzania or Kagera Sugar?
JKT Tanzania, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% JKT Tanzania, 26% the draw and 28% Kagera Sugar.
When and where is JKT Tanzania vs Kagera Sugar being played?
24 October 2026 at Isamuhyo Stadium, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have JKT Tanzania and Kagera Sugar met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of JKT Tanzania and Kagera Sugar?
JKT Tanzania have taken 12 points from their last five (WWLWW), Kagera Sugar 5 from theirs (DWDLL). Most recently JKT Tanzania took a 2-1 win at home to Mbeya City and Kagera Sugar a 1-1 draw at home to Polisi Tanzania.
How many goals are expected in JKT Tanzania vs Kagera Sugar?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for JKT Tanzania and 1.35 for Kagera Sugar. It rates over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 51%, so its call is yes.