Namungo vs Coastal Union: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Namungo the pick at 46% for Namungo vs Coastal Union. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Namungo host Coastal Union on 24 October 2026 at Majaliwa Stadium. Namungo are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 9 fixture in Ligi kuu Bara is listed as Namungo - Coastal Union. Kick-off is 17:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Namungo: they come in on the back of a win, following four defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded eight, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.0 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -4.
Coastal Union: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Across those five they scored five and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 54.0 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -4.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Namungo | Coastal Union |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 10th |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLLL | WLWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 8 | 5 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 34.0 | 54.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 28% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Namungo 34.0 versus Coastal Union 54.0, a gap of 20.0, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 51%.
- First goal: Leans Namungo's way at 54%.
The call
The model tilts to Namungo at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Coastal Union's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Namungo's way, especially at Majaliwa Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Namungo or Coastal Union?
Namungo, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Namungo, 26% the draw and 28% Coastal Union.
When and where is Namungo vs Coastal Union being played?
24 October 2026 at Majaliwa Stadium, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
Have Namungo and Coastal Union met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Namungo and Coastal Union?
Namungo have taken 3 points from their last five (WLLLL), Coastal Union 9 from theirs (WLWWL). Most recently Namungo took a 1-0 win at home to Tabora United and Coastal Union a 1-0 win at home to Singida Black Stars.
How many goals are expected in Namungo vs Coastal Union?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Namungo and 1.35 for Coastal Union. It rates over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 51%, so its call is yes.