Young Africans vs Mashujaa match summary and prediction — Ligi kuu Bara
Our model makes Young Africans the pick at 40% for Young Africans vs Mashujaa. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Mashujaa travel to Young Africans on 27 October 2026 at KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam. Young Africans are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This matchday 10 fixture in Ligi kuu Bara is listed as Young Africans - Mashujaa. Kick-off is 15:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Young Africans: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Across those five they scored twelve and conceded four, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 68.2 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +13.
Mashujaa: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded ten, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 54.0 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of -4.
Side by side
| Statistic | Young Africans | Mashujaa |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 6th |
| Goal difference | +13 | -4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLWW | LWWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 12 / 4 | 7 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 68.2 | 54.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 40% | 31% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Young Africans 68.2 versus Mashujaa 54.0, a gap of 14.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.68, over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Young Africans' way at 50%.
The call
The model edges towards Young Africans at 40%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Young Africans's way, especially at KMC Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Young Africans or Mashujaa?
Young Africans, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 40% Young Africans, 29% the draw and 31% Mashujaa.
When and where is Young Africans vs Mashujaa being played?
27 October 2026 at KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam, kick-off 15:30 UTC.
Have Young Africans and Mashujaa met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Young Africans and Mashujaa?
Young Africans have taken 12 points from their last five (WWLWW), Mashujaa 9 from theirs (LWWLW). Most recently Young Africans took a 4-1 win at home to CFFA and Mashujaa a 1-6 defeat away at Simba.
How many goals are expected in Young Africans vs Mashujaa?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.68 — 0.33 for Young Africans and 1.35 for Mashujaa. It rates over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.