Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Namungo the pick at 46% for Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Namungo host Polisi Tanzania on 29 October 2026 at Majaliwa Stadium. Namungo are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 10 fixture in Ligi kuu Bara is listed as Namungo - Polisi Tanzania. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Namungo: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored five and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.2 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of -3.
Polisi Tanzania: they come in on two successive draws, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored six and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.9 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +1.
Side by side
| Statistic | Namungo | Polisi Tanzania |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 6th |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLLL | DDLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 7 | 6 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 44.2 | 41.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 28% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Namungo 44.2 versus Polisi Tanzania 41.9, a gap of 2.3, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 51%.
- First goal: Leans Namungo's way at 54%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Namungo at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Namungo's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Namungo's way, especially at Majaliwa Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Namungo or Polisi Tanzania?
Namungo, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Namungo, 26% the draw and 28% Polisi Tanzania.
When and where is Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania being played?
29 October 2026 at Majaliwa Stadium, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have Namungo and Polisi Tanzania met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Namungo and Polisi Tanzania?
Namungo have taken 6 points from their last five (WWLLL), Polisi Tanzania 5 from theirs (DDLWL). Most recently Namungo took a 2-1 win at home to Coastal Union and Polisi Tanzania a 1-1 draw at home to Pamba Jiji.
How many goals are expected in Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Namungo and 1.35 for Polisi Tanzania. It rates over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 51%, so its call is yes.