Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes a draw the pick at 48% for Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Singida Black Stars travel to Mbeya City on 2 November 2026 at Sokoine Stadium, Mbeya. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 48%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This matchday 11 fixture in Ligi kuu Bara is listed as Mbeya City - Singida Black Stars. Kick-off is 13:15 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Mbeya City: they come in on four defeats in a row. That is no wins, no draws and four defeats from the last four, worth 0 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those four they scored two and conceded eleven, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 27.1 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -5.
Singida Black Stars: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and one defeat from the last four, worth 7 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those four they scored three and conceded two, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.3 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +4.
Side by side
| Statistic | Mbeya City | Singida Black Stars |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 7th |
| Goal difference | -5 | +4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLL | WDWL |
| Points from last 5 | 0 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 2 / 11 | 3 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 27.1 | 49.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 27% | 25% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Mbeya City 27.1 versus Singida Black Stars 49.3, a gap of 22.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 0.80, over 2.5 goals at 26% and both teams to score at 40%.
- First goal: Leans Mbeya City's way at 34%.
The call
The model tilts to a draw at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Singida Black Stars' stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Mbeya City or Singida Black Stars?
Neither side. Our model splits it 27% Mbeya City, 48% the draw and 25% Singida Black Stars, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars being played?
2 November 2026 at Sokoine Stadium, Mbeya, kick-off 13:15 UTC.
Have Mbeya City and Singida Black Stars met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Mbeya City and Singida Black Stars?
Mbeya City have taken 0 points from their last four (LLLL), Singida Black Stars 7 from theirs (WDWL). Most recently Mbeya City took a 0-4 defeat away at Azam and Singida Black Stars a 1-0 win away at Pamba Jiji.
How many goals are expected in Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars?
The model's combined scoring line is 0.80 — 0.00 for Mbeya City and 0.80 for Singida Black Stars. It rates over 2.5 goals at 26%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 40%, so its call is no.