Coastal Union vs Dodoma Jiji match summary and prediction — Ligi kuu Bara
Our model makes Coastal Union the pick at 46% for Coastal Union vs Dodoma Jiji. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Coastal Union face Dodoma Jiji on 31 October 2026 at Mkwakwani Stadium, Tanga. Coastal Union are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 11 fixture in Ligi kuu Bara is listed as Coastal Union - Dodoma Jiji. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Coastal Union: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Across those five they scored five and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 54.0 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of -4.
Dodoma Jiji: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, two draws and no defeats from the last four, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those four they scored five and conceded one, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 62.4 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +3.
Side by side
| Statistic | Coastal Union | Dodoma Jiji |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 5th |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLWLW | DWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 5 | 5 / 1 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 54.0 | 62.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 28% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Coastal Union 54.0 versus Dodoma Jiji 62.4, a gap of 8.4, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 51%.
- First goal: Leans Coastal Union's way at 54%.
The call
The model tilts to Coastal Union at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Coastal Union's way, especially at Mkwakwani Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Coastal Union or Dodoma Jiji?
Coastal Union, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Coastal Union, 26% the draw and 28% Dodoma Jiji.
When and where is Coastal Union vs Dodoma Jiji being played?
31 October 2026 at Mkwakwani Stadium, Tanga, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
Have Coastal Union and Dodoma Jiji met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Coastal Union and Dodoma Jiji?
Coastal Union have taken 9 points from their last five (WLWLW), Dodoma Jiji 8 from theirs (DWDW). Most recently Coastal Union took a 1-0 win at home to Kagera Sugar and Dodoma Jiji a 0-0 draw at home to JKT Tanzania.
How many goals are expected in Coastal Union vs Dodoma Jiji?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Coastal Union and 1.35 for Dodoma Jiji. It rates over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 51%, so its call is yes.