Simba vs Namungo match summary and prediction — Ligi kuu Bara
Our model makes Simba the pick at 48% for Simba vs Namungo. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Simba face Namungo on 2 November 2026 at Isamuhyo Stadium, Dar es Salaam. Simba are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This matchday 11 fixture in Ligi kuu Bara is listed as Simba - Namungo. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Simba: they come in on a four-match winning sequence. That is four wins, no draws and no defeats from the last four, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those four they scored 16 and conceded two, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 79.0 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +16.
Namungo: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored four and conceded four, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 54.5 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of -2.
Side by side
| Statistic | Simba | Namungo |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 6th |
| Goal difference | +16 | -2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWW | WWWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 16 / 2 | 4 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 79.0 | 54.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 48% | 22% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Simba 79.0 versus Namungo 54.5, a gap of 24.5, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.35, over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 51%.
- First goal: Leans Simba's way at 55%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Simba at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Simba's way, especially at Isamuhyo Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Simba or Namungo?
Simba, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 48% Simba, 30% the draw and 22% Namungo.
When and where is Simba vs Namungo being played?
2 November 2026 at Isamuhyo Stadium, Dar es Salaam, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have Simba and Namungo met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Simba and Namungo?
Simba have taken 12 points from their last four (WWWW), Namungo 9 from theirs (WWWLL). Most recently Simba took a 1-0 win away at Fountain Gate and Namungo a 1-0 win at home to Polisi Tanzania.
How many goals are expected in Simba vs Namungo?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.35 — 1.00 for Simba and 1.35 for Namungo. It rates over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 51%, so its call is yes.