Cesena vs Cremonese: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes a draw the pick at 48% for Cesena vs Cremonese. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Cremonese travel to Cesena on 12 September 2026 at Stadio Dino Manuzzi, Cesena. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 48%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This matchday 4 fixture in Serie B is listed as Cesena - Cremonese. Kick-off is 17:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Cesena: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (15 scored and 31 conceded in 18 matches, 0.83 and 1.72 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.9 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of +1.
Cremonese: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (22 scored and 40 conceded in 23 matches, 0.96 and 1.74 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.5 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -2.
Side by side
| Statistic | Cesena | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 13th |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWDLD | WWLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 6 | 7 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 18 | 23 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.83 / 1.72 | 0.96 / 1.74 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.67 | 0.87 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 41.9 | 34.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 34% | 18% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Cesena 41.9 versus Cremonese 34.5, a gap of 7.4, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 87% and both teams to score at 67%.
- First goal: Leans Cesena's way at 56%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to a draw at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Cesena or Cremonese?
Neither side. Our model splits it 34% Cesena, 48% the draw and 18% Cremonese, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Cesena vs Cremonese being played?
12 September 2026 at Stadio Dino Manuzzi, Cesena, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
Have Cesena and Cremonese met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Cesena and Cremonese?
Cesena have taken 6 points from their last five (DWDLD), Cremonese 9 from theirs (WWLLW). Most recently Cesena took a 1-1 draw at home to Mantova and Cremonese a 3-1 win at home to Padova.
How many goals are expected in Cesena vs Cremonese?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 2.00 for Cesena and 1.00 for Cremonese. It rates over 2.5 goals at 87%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 67%, so its call is yes.