Arezzo vs Benevento: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Arezzo the pick at 45% for Arezzo vs Benevento. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Benevento travel to Arezzo on 24 October 2026 at Stadio Città di Arezzo, Arezzo. Arezzo are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This matchday 8 fixture in Serie B is listed as Arezzo - Benevento. Kick-off is 17:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Arezzo: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded seven, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 46.8 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -6.
Benevento: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Across those five they scored nine and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 59.1 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Arezzo | Benevento |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 8th |
| Goal difference | -6 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDLLW | DWLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 7 | 9 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 46.8 | 59.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 31% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Arezzo 46.8 versus Benevento 59.1, a gap of 12.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.50, over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 48%.
- First goal: Leans Arezzo's way at 53%.
The call
The model edges towards Arezzo at 45%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Arezzo's way, especially at Stadio Città di Arezzo.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Arezzo or Benevento?
Arezzo, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% Arezzo, 24% the draw and 31% Benevento.
When and where is Arezzo vs Benevento being played?
24 October 2026 at Stadio Città di Arezzo, Arezzo, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
Have Arezzo and Benevento met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Arezzo and Benevento?
Arezzo have taken 7 points from their last five (WDLLW), Benevento 10 from theirs (DWLWW). Most recently Arezzo took a 2-1 win away at Sampdoria and Benevento a 2-2 draw at home to Vicenza Virtus.
How many goals are expected in Arezzo vs Benevento?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.50 — 1.00 for Arezzo and 1.50 for Benevento. It rates over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 48%, so its call is no.