Cremonese vs Juve Stabia: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between Cremonese and Juve Stabia on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Cremonese host Juve Stabia on 24 October 2026 at Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona. Cremonese are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This matchday 8 fixture in Serie B is listed as Cremonese - Juve Stabia. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Cremonese: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (22 scored and 40 conceded in 23 matches, 0.96 and 1.74 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.0 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -4.
Juve Stabia: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three draws before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 24 conceded in 19 matches, 1.32 and 1.26 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.0 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of 0.
Side by side
| Statistic | Cremonese | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 16th | 18th |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWWD | WDDWD |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 5 | 12 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 23 | 19 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.96 / 1.74 | 1.32 / 1.26 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.87 | 1.32 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 44.0 | 45.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 38% | 28% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Cremonese 44.0 versus Juve Stabia 45.0, a gap of 1.0, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Cremonese's way at 48%.
The call
The model does not commit. Cremonese is the nominal pick at 38%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Cremonese's way, especially at Stadio Giovanni Zini.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Cremonese or Juve Stabia?
Cremonese, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 38% Cremonese, 34% the draw and 28% Juve Stabia.
When and where is Cremonese vs Juve Stabia being played?
24 October 2026 at Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have Cremonese and Juve Stabia met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Cremonese and Juve Stabia?
Cremonese have taken 8 points from their last five (LDWWD), Juve Stabia 9 from theirs (WDDWD). Most recently Cremonese took a 1-3 defeat away at Pisa and Juve Stabia a 3-0 win at home to Sudtirol.
How many goals are expected in Cremonese vs Juve Stabia?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 1.80 for Cremonese and 1.40 for Juve Stabia. It rates over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.