Virtus Entella vs Mantova — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Virtus Entella the pick at 44% for Virtus Entella vs Mantova. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Mantova travel to Virtus Entella on 24 October 2026 at Stadio Comunale, Chiavari. Virtus Entella are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 44%. This matchday 8 fixture in Serie B is listed as Virtus Entella - Mantova. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Virtus Entella: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three draws before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 24 conceded in 19 matches, 0.95 and 1.26 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.5 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of +2.
Mantova: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (26 scored and 23 conceded in 17 matches, 1.53 and 1.35 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.9 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +5.
Side by side
| Statistic | Virtus Entella | Mantova |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDDWD | LWDWD |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 5 | 8 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 19 | 17 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.95 / 1.26 | 1.53 / 1.35 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.21 | 1.53 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 55.5 | 52.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 44% | 29% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Virtus Entella 55.5 versus Mantova 52.9, a gap of 2.6, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.80, over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Virtus Entella's way at 54%.
The call
The model edges towards Virtus Entella at 44%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Virtus Entella's way, especially at Stadio Comunale.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Virtus Entella or Mantova?
Virtus Entella, with an implied win probability of roughly 44%. The full split is 44% Virtus Entella, 27% the draw and 29% Mantova.
When and where is Virtus Entella vs Mantova being played?
24 October 2026 at Stadio Comunale, Chiavari, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Virtus Entella and Mantova?
Mantova 1-0 Virtus Entella on 06 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Virtus Entella and Mantova?
Virtus Entella have taken 9 points from their last five (WDDWD), Mantova 8 from theirs (LWDWD). Most recently Virtus Entella took a 2-1 win away at Padova and Mantova a 0-2 defeat at home to Palermo.
How many goals are expected in Virtus Entella vs Mantova?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.80 — 1.60 for Virtus Entella and 2.20 for Mantova. It rates over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.