Sudtirol vs Sampdoria match summary and prediction — Serie B
There is barely anything between Sudtirol and Sampdoria on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Sudtirol host Sampdoria on 24 October 2026 at Stadio Druso, Bozen. Sampdoria are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 35%. This matchday 8 fixture in Serie B is listed as Sudtirol - Sampdoria. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Sudtirol: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (19 scored and 26 conceded in 20 matches, 0.95 and 1.3 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.4 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +3.
Sampdoria: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (16 scored and 21 conceded in 18 matches, 0.89 and 1.17 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 33.0 out of 100, and they sit 19th on a goal difference of -8.
Side by side
| Statistic | Sudtirol | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 19th |
| Goal difference | +3 | -8 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLWL | LLWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 8 | 5 / 12 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 20 | 18 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.95 / 1.3 | 0.89 / 1.17 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.05 | 1.44 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 52.4 | 33.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 31% | 35% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Sudtirol 52.4 versus Sampdoria 33.0, a gap of 19.4, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: 14 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.20, over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Sudtirol's way at 45%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Sampdoria is the nominal pick at 35%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Sudtirol or Sampdoria?
Sampdoria, with an implied win probability of roughly 35%. The full split is 31% Sudtirol, 34% the draw and 35% Sampdoria.
When and where is Sudtirol vs Sampdoria being played?
24 October 2026 at Stadio Druso, Bozen, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Sudtirol and Sampdoria?
Sampdoria 1-0 Sudtirol on 01 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Sudtirol and Sampdoria?
Sudtirol have taken 4 points from their last five (LDLWL), Sampdoria 3 from theirs (LLWLL). Most recently Sudtirol took a 0-3 defeat away at Juve Stabia and Sampdoria a 1-2 defeat at home to Arezzo.
How many goals are expected in Sudtirol vs Sampdoria?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.20 — 0.60 for Sudtirol and 0.60 for Sampdoria. It rates over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.