Vicenza Virtus vs Modena match summary and prediction — Serie B
Our model makes Modena the pick at 47% for Vicenza Virtus vs Modena. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Vicenza Virtus host Modena on 27 October 2026 at Stadio Romeo Menti, Vicenza. Modena are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This matchday 9 fixture in Serie B is listed as Vicenza Virtus - Modena. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Vicenza Virtus: they come in on the back of a draw, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored five and conceded ten, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 33.5 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -6.
Modena: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded seven, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.3 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +4.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Vicenza Virtus | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 17th | 4th |
| Goal difference | -6 | +4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLLLD | LWWDL |
| Points from last 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 10 | 7 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 33.5 | 49.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 25% | 47% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Vicenza Virtus 33.5 versus Modena 49.3, a gap of 15.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 13 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.10, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Modena's way at 53%.
The call
The model tilts to Modena at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Modena's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Vicenza Virtus or Modena?
Modena, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 25% Vicenza Virtus, 28% the draw and 47% Modena.
When and where is Vicenza Virtus vs Modena being played?
27 October 2026 at Stadio Romeo Menti, Vicenza, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Vicenza Virtus and Modena met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Vicenza Virtus and Modena?
Vicenza Virtus have taken 2 points from their last five (DLLLD), Modena 7 from theirs (LWWDL). Most recently Vicenza Virtus took a 2-2 draw away at Benevento and Modena a 1-2 defeat away at Carrarese.
How many goals are expected in Vicenza Virtus vs Modena?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.10 — 1.50 for Vicenza Virtus and 0.60 for Modena. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.