Avellino vs Pisa: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Avellino the pick at 52% for Avellino vs Pisa. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Avellino host Pisa on 1 November 2026 at Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino. Avellino are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 52%. This matchday 10 fixture in Serie B is listed as Avellino - Pisa. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Avellino: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (19 scored and 24 conceded in 17 matches, 1.12 and 1.41 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 42.4 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of +3.
Pisa: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (17 scored and 51 conceded in 25 matches, 0.68 and 2.04 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.2 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +5.
Side by side
| Statistic | Avellino | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 6th |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLDWL | DDWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 7 | 10 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 17 | 25 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.12 / 1.41 | 0.68 / 2.04 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.35 | 0.44 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 42.4 | 56.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 52% | 22% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Avellino 42.4 versus Pisa 56.2, a gap of 13.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Avellino's way at 61%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Avellino at 52%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Pisa's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Avellino's way, especially at Partenio-Adriano Lombardi.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Avellino or Pisa?
Avellino, with an implied win probability of roughly 52%. The full split is 52% Avellino, 26% the draw and 22% Pisa.
When and where is Avellino vs Pisa being played?
1 November 2026 at Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have Avellino and Pisa met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Avellino and Pisa?
Avellino have taken 5 points from their last five (DLDWL), Pisa 8 from theirs (DDWWL). Most recently Avellino took a 1-1 draw away at Virtus Entella and Pisa a 3-3 draw at home to Palermo.
How many goals are expected in Avellino vs Pisa?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 0.80 for Avellino and 1.60 for Pisa. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.