Cremonese vs Benevento: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Cremonese the pick at 55% for Cremonese vs Benevento. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Benevento travel to Cremonese on 31 October 2026 at Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona. Cremonese are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 55%. This matchday 10 fixture in Serie B is listed as Cremonese - Benevento. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Cremonese: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded four, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.9 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -3.
Benevento: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those five they scored nine and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 63.2 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +6.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Cremonese | Benevento |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 5th |
| Goal difference | -3 | +6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLDW | DWDWL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 4 | 9 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 40.9 | 63.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 55% | 22% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Cremonese 40.9 versus Benevento 63.2, a gap of 22.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.55, over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 51%.
- First goal: Leans Cremonese's way at 58%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Cremonese at 55%, a gap of 33 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Cremonese's way, especially at Stadio Giovanni Zini.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Cremonese or Benevento?
Cremonese, with an implied win probability of roughly 55%. The full split is 55% Cremonese, 23% the draw and 22% Benevento.
When and where is Cremonese vs Benevento being played?
31 October 2026 at Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have Cremonese and Benevento met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Cremonese and Benevento?
Cremonese have taken 7 points from their last five (WLLDW), Benevento 8 from theirs (DWDWL). Most recently Cremonese took a 2-0 win away at Mantova and Benevento a 1-1 draw at home to Catanzaro.
How many goals are expected in Cremonese vs Benevento?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.55 — 1.80 for Cremonese and 1.75 for Benevento. It rates over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 51%, so its call is yes.