Empoli vs Juve Stabia — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Empoli the pick at 39% for Empoli vs Juve Stabia. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Juve Stabia travel to Empoli on 1 November 2026 at Carlo Castellani, Empoli. Empoli are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 39%. This matchday 10 fixture in Serie B is listed as Empoli - Juve Stabia. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Empoli: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 26 conceded in 18 matches, 1.11 and 1.44 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 26.6 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -7.
Juve Stabia: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 24 conceded in 19 matches, 1.32 and 1.26 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 51.7 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of 0.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Empoli | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 18th | 17th |
| Goal difference | -7 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDLL | LWWDD |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 11 | 8 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 18 | 19 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.11 / 1.44 | 1.32 / 1.26 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.0 | 1.32 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 26.6 | 51.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 39% | 31% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Empoli 26.6 versus Juve Stabia 51.7, a gap of 25.1, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.60, over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Empoli's way at 51%.
The call
The model edges towards Empoli at 39%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Juve Stabia's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Empoli's way, especially at Carlo Castellani.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Empoli or Juve Stabia?
Empoli, with an implied win probability of roughly 39%. The full split is 39% Empoli, 30% the draw and 31% Juve Stabia.
When and where is Empoli vs Juve Stabia being played?
1 November 2026 at Carlo Castellani, Empoli, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Empoli and Juve Stabia?
Empoli 1-2 Juve Stabia on 11 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Empoli and Juve Stabia?
Empoli have taken 1 points from their last five (LLDLL), Juve Stabia 8 from theirs (LWWDD). Most recently Empoli took a 1-2 defeat away at Cesena and Juve Stabia a 0-1 defeat at home to Hellas Verona.
How many goals are expected in Empoli vs Juve Stabia?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.60 — 0.60 for Empoli and 1.00 for Juve Stabia. It rates over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.