Palermo vs Vicenza Virtus: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Palermo the pick at 65% for Palermo vs Vicenza Virtus. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Vicenza Virtus travel to Palermo on 1 November 2026 at Renzo Barbera, Palermo. Palermo are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 65%. This matchday 10 fixture in Serie B is listed as Palermo - Vicenza Virtus. Kick-off is 18:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Palermo: they come in on the back of a draw, following four wins before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored 13 and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 70.8 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +10.
Vicenza Virtus: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded nine, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.1 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -5.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Palermo | Vicenza Virtus |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 16th |
| Goal difference | +10 | -5 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWWWW | LWDLL |
| Points from last 5 | 13 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 13 / 7 | 6 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 70.8 | 37.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 65% | 14% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Palermo 70.8 versus Vicenza Virtus 37.1, a gap of 33.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 15 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.30, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Palermo's way at 68%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Palermo at 65%, a gap of 44 percentage points to the next outcome. Palermo's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Palermo's way, especially at Renzo Barbera.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Palermo or Vicenza Virtus?
Palermo, with an implied win probability of roughly 65%. The full split is 65% Palermo, 21% the draw and 14% Vicenza Virtus.
When and where is Palermo vs Vicenza Virtus being played?
1 November 2026 at Renzo Barbera, Palermo, kick-off 18:30 UTC.
Have Palermo and Vicenza Virtus met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Palermo and Vicenza Virtus?
Palermo have taken 13 points from their last five (DWWWW), Vicenza Virtus 4 from theirs (LWDLL). Most recently Palermo took a 3-3 draw away at Pisa and Vicenza Virtus a 1-2 defeat at home to Modena.
How many goals are expected in Palermo vs Vicenza Virtus?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.30 — 2.80 for Palermo and 1.50 for Vicenza Virtus. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.