Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between Sampdoria and Virtus Entella on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Sampdoria host Virtus Entella on 31 October 2026 at Luigi Ferraris, Genoa. Sampdoria are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 36%. This matchday 10 fixture in Serie B is listed as Sampdoria - Virtus Entella. Kick-off is 18:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Sampdoria: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (16 scored and 21 conceded in 18 matches, 0.89 and 1.17 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.8 out of 100, and they sit 19th on a goal difference of -10.
Virtus Entella: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 24 conceded in 19 matches, 0.95 and 1.26 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.2 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of +1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Sampdoria | Virtus Entella |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 19th | 12th |
| Goal difference | -10 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLLW | DLWDD |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 10 | 4 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 18 | 19 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.89 / 1.17 | 0.95 / 1.26 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.44 | 1.21 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 35.8 | 45.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 36% | 35% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Sampdoria 35.8 versus Virtus Entella 45.2, a gap of 9.4, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Sampdoria's way at 49%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Sampdoria is the nominal pick at 36%, but the three results sit close to even. Virtus Entella's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Sampdoria's way, especially at Luigi Ferraris.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Sampdoria or Virtus Entella?
Sampdoria, with an implied win probability of roughly 36%. The full split is 36% Sampdoria, 29% the draw and 35% Virtus Entella.
When and where is Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella being played?
31 October 2026 at Luigi Ferraris, Genoa, kick-off 18:30 UTC.
Have Sampdoria and Virtus Entella met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Sampdoria and Virtus Entella?
Sampdoria have taken 4 points from their last five (LDLLW), Virtus Entella 6 from theirs (DLWDD). Most recently Sampdoria took a 0-2 defeat away at Ascoli and Virtus Entella a 1-1 draw at home to Avellino.
How many goals are expected in Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 0.60 for Sampdoria and 1.40 for Virtus Entella. It rates over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.