Sudtirol vs Cesena match summary and prediction — Serie B
Our model makes Sudtirol the pick at 47% for Sudtirol vs Cesena. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Sudtirol host Cesena on 31 October 2026 at Stadio Druso, Bozen. Sudtirol are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This matchday 10 fixture in Serie B is listed as Sudtirol - Cesena. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Sudtirol: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (19 scored and 26 conceded in 20 matches, 0.95 and 1.3 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.9 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +1.
Cesena: they come in on the back of a win, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (15 scored and 31 conceded in 18 matches, 0.83 and 1.72 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.9 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Sudtirol | Cesena |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 11th |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLDL | WLDLD |
| Points from last 5 | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 9 | 4 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 20 | 18 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.95 / 1.3 | 0.83 / 1.72 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.05 | 0.67 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 41.9 | 40.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 47% | 28% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Sudtirol 41.9 versus Cesena 40.9, a gap of 1.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.60, over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Sudtirol's way at 53%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Sudtirol at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Cesena's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Sudtirol's way, especially at Stadio Druso.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Sudtirol or Cesena?
Sudtirol, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 47% Sudtirol, 25% the draw and 28% Cesena.
When and where is Sudtirol vs Cesena being played?
31 October 2026 at Stadio Druso, Bozen, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Sudtirol and Cesena?
Cesena 1-1 Sudtirol on 06 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Sudtirol and Cesena?
Sudtirol have taken 2 points from their last five (LDLDL), Cesena 5 from theirs (WLDLD). Most recently Sudtirol took a 0-2 defeat away at Padova and Cesena a 2-1 win at home to Empoli.
How many goals are expected in Sudtirol vs Cesena?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.60 — 0.40 for Sudtirol and 1.20 for Cesena. It rates over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.