Hellas Verona vs Carrarese: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Hellas Verona the pick at 47% for Hellas Verona vs Carrarese. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Hellas Verona host Carrarese on 1 November 2026 at Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona. Hellas Verona are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This matchday 10 fixture in Serie B is listed as Hellas Verona - Carrarese. Kick-off is 16:15 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Hellas Verona: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (6 scored and 15 conceded in twelve matches, 0.5 and 1.25 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.4 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of +3.
Carrarese: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (19 scored and 19 conceded in 17 matches, 1.12 and 1.12 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 54.8 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Hellas Verona | Carrarese |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 13th |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDDLW | WLWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 7 | 7 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 12 | 17 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.5 / 1.25 | 1.12 / 1.12 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.5 | 1.18 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 52.4 | 54.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 47% | 25% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Hellas Verona 52.4 versus Carrarese 54.8, a gap of 2.3, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Hellas Verona's way at 55%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Hellas Verona at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Hellas Verona's way, especially at Marc'Antonio Bentegodi.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Hellas Verona or Carrarese?
Hellas Verona, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 47% Hellas Verona, 28% the draw and 25% Carrarese.
When and where is Hellas Verona vs Carrarese being played?
1 November 2026 at Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona, kick-off 16:15 UTC.
Have Hellas Verona and Carrarese met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Hellas Verona and Carrarese?
Hellas Verona have taken 8 points from their last five (WDDLW), Carrarese 9 from theirs (WLWWL). Most recently Hellas Verona took a 1-0 win away at Juve Stabia and Carrarese a 2-1 win at home to Arezzo.
How many goals are expected in Hellas Verona vs Carrarese?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 2.00 for Hellas Verona and 0.60 for Carrarese. It rates over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.