Benevento vs Avellino: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between Benevento and Avellino on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Avellino travel to Benevento on 7 November 2026 at Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento. Benevento are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 37%. This matchday 11 fixture in Serie B is listed as Benevento - Avellino. Kick-off is 18:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Benevento: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Across those five they scored eight and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.7 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +4.
Avellino: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Across those five they scored eight and conceded four, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.9 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +5.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Benevento | Avellino |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 5th |
| Goal difference | +4 | +5 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWDW | WDLDW |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 5 | 8 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 52.7 | 52.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 37% | 37% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Benevento's way at 49%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Benevento is the nominal pick at 37%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Benevento's way, especially at Stadio Ciro Vigorito.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Benevento or Avellino?
Benevento, with an implied win probability of roughly 37%. The full split is 37% Benevento, 27% the draw and 37% Avellino.
When and where is Benevento vs Avellino being played?
7 November 2026 at Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento, kick-off 18:30 UTC.
Have Benevento and Avellino met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Benevento and Avellino?
Benevento have taken 8 points from their last five (LDWDW), Avellino 8 from theirs (WDLDW). Most recently Benevento took a 0-2 defeat away at Cremonese and Avellino a 2-0 win at home to Pisa.
How many goals are expected in Benevento vs Avellino?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.40 for Benevento and 1.00 for Avellino. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.