Cesena vs Catanzaro — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Catanzaro the pick at 45% for Cesena vs Catanzaro. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Cesena face Catanzaro on 7 November 2026 at Stadio Dino Manuzzi, Cesena. Catanzaro are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This matchday 11 fixture in Serie B is listed as Cesena - Catanzaro. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Cesena: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (15 scored and 31 conceded in 18 matches, 0.83 and 1.72 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.9 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -3.
Catanzaro: they come in on two successive draws, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (41 scored and 29 conceded in 23 matches, 1.78 and 1.26 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 32.2 out of 100, and they sit 20th on a goal difference of -11.
Side by side
| Statistic | Cesena | Catanzaro |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 20th |
| Goal difference | -3 | -11 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWLDL | DDLDL |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 8 | 6 / 13 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 18 | 23 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.83 / 1.72 | 1.78 / 1.26 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.67 | 1.7 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 40.9 | 32.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 28% | 45% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Cesena 40.9 versus Catanzaro 32.2, a gap of 8.7, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Catanzaro's way at 50%.
The call
The model tilts to Catanzaro at 45%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Cesena's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Cesena or Catanzaro?
Catanzaro, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 28% Cesena, 27% the draw and 45% Catanzaro.
When and where is Cesena vs Catanzaro being played?
7 November 2026 at Stadio Dino Manuzzi, Cesena, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Cesena and Catanzaro?
Cesena 3-1 Catanzaro on 21 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Cesena and Catanzaro?
Cesena have taken 5 points from their last five (DWLDL), Catanzaro 3 from theirs (DDLDL). Most recently Cesena took a 1-1 draw away at Sudtirol and Catanzaro a 1-1 draw at home to Padova.
How many goals are expected in Cesena vs Catanzaro?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 1.20 for Cesena and 0.80 for Catanzaro. It rates over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.