Virtus Entella vs Modena — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Modena the pick at 44% for Virtus Entella vs Modena. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Modena travel to Virtus Entella on 8 November 2026 at Stadio Comunale, Chiavari. Modena are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 44%. This matchday 11 fixture in Serie B is listed as Virtus Entella - Modena. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Virtus Entella: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 24 conceded in 19 matches, 0.95 and 1.26 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.4 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -1.
Modena: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 20 conceded in 18 matches, 1.11 and 1.11 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 60.3 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +8.
Side by side
| Statistic | Virtus Entella | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | -1 | +8 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLWD | DWWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 6 | 10 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 19 | 18 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.95 / 1.26 | 1.11 / 1.11 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.21 | 1.11 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 41.4 | 60.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 29% | 44% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Virtus Entella 41.4 versus Modena 60.3, a gap of 18.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Twelve places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Modena's way at 48%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Modena at 44%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Modena's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Virtus Entella or Modena?
Modena, with an implied win probability of roughly 44%. The full split is 29% Virtus Entella, 27% the draw and 44% Modena.
When and where is Virtus Entella vs Modena being played?
8 November 2026 at Stadio Comunale, Chiavari, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Virtus Entella and Modena?
Virtus Entella 2-1 Modena on 03 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Virtus Entella and Modena?
Virtus Entella have taken 5 points from their last five (LDLWD), Modena 10 from theirs (DWWLW). Most recently Virtus Entella took a 0-2 defeat away at Sampdoria and Modena a 1-1 draw at home to Mantova.
How many goals are expected in Virtus Entella vs Modena?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.40 for Virtus Entella and 1.40 for Modena. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.