Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the pick at 70% for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Al Khaleej Saihat travel to Al-Ahli Jeddah on 22 October 2026 at King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah. Al-Ahli Jeddah are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 70%. This matchday 11 fixture in Pro League is listed as Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Khaleej Saihat. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Al-Ahli Jeddah: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and one defeat from the last four, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (81 scored and 28 conceded in 38 matches, 2.13 and 0.74 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 57.5 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +10.
Al Khaleej Saihat: they come in on the back of a win, following three draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (48 scored and 58 conceded in 31 matches, 1.55 and 1.87 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 43.8 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -5.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al Khaleej Saihat |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 11th |
| Goal difference | +10 | -5 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLD | WDDDL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 4 | 4 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 38 | 31 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 2.13 / 0.74 | 1.55 / 1.87 |
| Points per game (2025) | 2.39 | 1.06 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 57.5 | 43.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 70% | 5% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 4) | 3 | 0 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 4): Al-Ahli Jeddah three wins, Al Khaleej Saihat none wins, one draw — an edge to Al-Ahli Jeddah.
- Most recent meeting: Al Khaleej Saihat 1-4 Al-Ahli Jeddah on 20 May 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 4.25 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in three of the four — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Al-Ahli Jeddah 57.5 versus Al Khaleej Saihat 43.8, a gap of 13.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 96% and both teams to score at 38%.
- First goal: Leans Al-Ahli Jeddah's way at 76%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Al-Ahli Jeddah at 70%, a gap of 45 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Al-Ahli Jeddah's way, especially at King Abdullah Sports City.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Al-Ahli Jeddah or Al Khaleej Saihat?
Al-Ahli Jeddah, with an implied win probability of roughly 70%. The full split is 70% Al-Ahli Jeddah, 25% the draw and 5% Al Khaleej Saihat.
When and where is Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat being played?
22 October 2026 at King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al Khaleej Saihat?
Al Khaleej Saihat 1-4 Al-Ahli Jeddah on 20 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al Khaleej Saihat?
Al-Ahli Jeddah have taken 7 points from their last four (WWLD), Al Khaleej Saihat 6 from theirs (WDDDL). Most recently Al-Ahli Jeddah took a 3-1 win away at Al-Wasl FC and Al Khaleej Saihat a 2-0 win at home to Al-Fayha.
How many goals are expected in Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.40 for Al-Ahli Jeddah and 1.60 for Al Khaleej Saihat. It rates over 2.5 goals at 96%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 38%, so its call is no.