Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes a draw the pick at 49% for Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Al-Fayha travel to Al-Hazm on 22 October 2026 at Al-Hazem Club Stadium, Ar Rass. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 49%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This matchday 11 fixture in Pro League is listed as Al-Hazm - Al-Fayha. Kick-off is 13:40 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Al-Hazm: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (34 scored and 49 conceded in 30 matches, 1.13 and 1.63 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.9 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -3.
Al-Fayha: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three draws and one defeat before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (40 scored and 53 conceded in 32 matches, 1.25 and 1.66 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 33.5 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -6.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Al-Hazm | Al-Fayha |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 14th |
| Goal difference | -3 | -6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLWD | LDDLD |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 7 | 4 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 30 | 32 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.13 / 1.63 | 1.25 / 1.66 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.27 | 1.12 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 40.9 | 33.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 31% | 20% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Al-Hazm 40.9 versus Al-Fayha 33.5, a gap of 7.4, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.40, over 2.5 goals at 23% and both teams to score at 69%.
- First goal: Leans Al-Hazm's way at 55%.
The call
The model tilts to a draw at 49%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Al-Hazm or Al-Fayha?
Neither side. Our model splits it 31% Al-Hazm, 49% the draw and 20% Al-Fayha, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha being played?
22 October 2026 at Al-Hazem Club Stadium, Ar Rass, kick-off 13:40 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Al-Hazm and Al-Fayha?
Al-Hazm 2-0 Al-Fayha on 11 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Al-Hazm and Al-Fayha?
Al-Hazm have taken 5 points from their last five (LDLWD), Al-Fayha 3 from theirs (LDDLD). Most recently Al-Hazm took a 2-3 defeat at home to Al-Fateh and Al-Fayha a 0-2 defeat away at Al Khaleej Saihat.
How many goals are expected in Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.40 — 0.60 for Al-Hazm and 0.80 for Al-Fayha. It rates over 2.5 goals at 23%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 69%, so its call is yes.