Al Riyadh vs Al Taawon — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Al Taawon the pick at 43% for Al Riyadh vs Al Taawon. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Al Riyadh face Al Taawon on 24 October 2026 at Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Riyadh. Al Taawon are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This matchday 11 fixture in Pro League is listed as Al Riyadh - Al Taawon. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Al Riyadh: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and two draws before that. That is one win, two draws and one defeat from the last four, worth 5 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (33 scored and 52 conceded in 30 matches, 1.1 and 1.73 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 39.4 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -9.
Al Taawon: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (55 scored and 45 conceded in 32 matches, 1.72 and 1.41 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 25.1 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -13.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Al Riyadh | Al Taawon |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 17th |
| Goal difference | -9 | -13 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWD | LDWLD |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 2 | 4 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 30 | 32 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.1 / 1.73 | 1.72 / 1.41 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.0 | 1.47 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 39.4 | 25.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 26% | 43% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 3) | 1 | 1 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 3): Al Riyadh one win, Al Taawon one win, one draw — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Al Taawon 1-1 Al Riyadh on 15 May 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.67 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in two of the three — broadly an average game for goals.
- Pre-match form ratings: Al Riyadh 39.4 versus Al Taawon 25.1, a gap of 14.3, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.00, over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Al Taawon's way at 52%.
The call
The model edges towards Al Taawon at 43%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals and draw probability stays material given the head-to-head draw rate.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Al Riyadh or Al Taawon?
Al Taawon, with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 26% Al Riyadh, 30% the draw and 43% Al Taawon.
When and where is Al Riyadh vs Al Taawon being played?
24 October 2026 at Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Riyadh, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Al Riyadh and Al Taawon?
Al Taawon 1-1 Al Riyadh on 15 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Al Riyadh and Al Taawon?
Al Riyadh have taken 5 points from their last four (LDWD), Al Taawon 5 from theirs (LDWLD). Most recently Al Riyadh took a 0-1 defeat away at Al Diriyah and Al Taawon a 0-1 defeat at home to Al-Qadisiyah FC.
How many goals are expected in Al Riyadh vs Al Taawon?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.00 — 0.80 for Al Riyadh and 0.20 for Al Taawon. It rates over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.