Abha vs Al-Ittihad FC: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Al-Ittihad FC the pick at 67% for Abha vs Al-Ittihad FC. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Abha host Al-Ittihad FC on 30 October 2026 at Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Abha. Al-Ittihad FC are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 67%. This matchday 12 fixture in Pro League is listed as Abha - Al-Ittihad FC. Kick-off is 13:45 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Abha: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored two and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 25.6 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -11.
Al-Ittihad FC: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored ten and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 67.5 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +10.
Side by side
| Statistic | Abha | Al-Ittihad FC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 18th | 4th |
| Goal difference | -11 | +10 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDLL | WWLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 2 / 7 | 10 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.6 | 67.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 14% | 67% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Abha 25.6 versus Al-Ittihad FC 67.5, a gap of 41.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 14 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Al-Ittihad FC's way at 65%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Al-Ittihad FC at 67%, a gap of 47 percentage points to the next outcome. Al-Ittihad FC's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Abha or Al-Ittihad FC?
Al-Ittihad FC, with an implied win probability of roughly 67%. The full split is 14% Abha, 19% the draw and 67% Al-Ittihad FC.
When and where is Abha vs Al-Ittihad FC being played?
30 October 2026 at Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Abha, kick-off 13:45 UTC.
Have Abha and Al-Ittihad FC met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Abha and Al-Ittihad FC?
Abha have taken 1 points from their last five (LLDLL), Al-Ittihad FC 7 from theirs (WWLLD). Most recently Abha took a 0-2 defeat away at NEOM and Al-Ittihad FC a 2-0 win at home to Al Diriyah.
How many goals are expected in Abha vs Al-Ittihad FC?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 0.40 for Abha and 2.00 for Al-Ittihad FC. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.