Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Fateh: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Al-Hilal Saudi FC the pick at 81% for Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Fateh. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Al-Hilal Saudi FC host Al-Fateh on 31 October 2026 at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh. Al-Hilal Saudi FC are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 81%. This matchday 12 fixture in Pro League is listed as Al-Hilal Saudi FC - Al-Fateh. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Al-Hilal Saudi FC: they come in on the back of a defeat, following four wins before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (87 scored and 30 conceded in 36 matches, 2.42 and 0.83 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 70.2 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +21.
Al-Fateh: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (39 scored and 54 conceded in 32 matches, 1.22 and 1.69 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 31.8 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -13.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al-Fateh |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 16th |
| Goal difference | +21 | -13 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWWW | LLWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 7 | 8 / 16 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 36 | 32 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 2.42 / 0.83 | 1.22 / 1.69 |
| Points per game (2025) | 2.39 | 1.03 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 70.2 | 31.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 81% | 6% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 4) | 4 | 0 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 4): Al-Hilal Saudi FC four wins, Al-Fateh none wins, none draws — an edge to Al-Hilal Saudi FC.
- Most recent meeting: Al-Fateh 0-1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC on 14 March 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 5.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in two of the four — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Al-Hilal Saudi FC 70.2 versus Al-Fateh 31.8, a gap of 38.5, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 13 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.60, over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Al-Hilal Saudi FC's way at 77%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 81%, a gap of 69 percentage points to the next outcome. Al-Hilal Saudi FC's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Al-Hilal Saudi FC's way, especially at Kingdom Arena.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Al-Hilal Saudi FC or Al-Fateh?
Al-Hilal Saudi FC, with an implied win probability of roughly 81%. The full split is 81% Al-Hilal Saudi FC, 12% the draw and 6% Al-Fateh.
When and where is Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Fateh being played?
31 October 2026 at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al-Fateh?
Al-Fateh 0-1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC on 14 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al-Fateh?
Al-Hilal Saudi FC have taken 12 points from their last five (LWWWW), Al-Fateh 3 from theirs (LLWLL). Most recently Al-Hilal Saudi FC took a 1-3 defeat away at Al Shamal and Al-Fateh a 1-3 defeat at home to Al Shabab.
How many goals are expected in Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Fateh?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.60 — 2.40 for Al-Hilal Saudi FC and 1.20 for Al-Fateh. It rates over 2.5 goals at 68%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.