Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC match summary and prediction — Pro League
Our model makes Al-Qadisiyah FC the pick at 58% for Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Al-Qadisiyah FC travel to Al Riyadh on 29 October 2026 at Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh. Al-Qadisiyah FC are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 58%. This matchday 12 fixture in Pro League is listed as Al Riyadh - Al-Qadisiyah FC. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Al Riyadh: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (33 scored and 52 conceded in 30 matches, 1.1 and 1.73 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.7 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -8.
Al-Qadisiyah FC: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (73 scored and 32 conceded in 31 matches, 2.35 and 1.03 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 61.8 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +14.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Al Riyadh | Al-Qadisiyah FC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | -8 | +14 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLDWD | LWWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 3 | 11 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 30 | 31 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.1 / 1.73 | 2.35 / 1.03 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.0 | 2.26 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 49.7 | 61.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 18% | 58% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 3) | 1 | 2 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 3): Al Riyadh one win, Al-Qadisiyah FC two wins, none draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Al Riyadh 0-4 Al-Qadisiyah FC on 29 April 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.67 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the three — broadly an average game for goals.
- Pre-match form ratings: Al Riyadh 49.7 versus Al-Qadisiyah FC 61.8, a gap of 12.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.60, over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Al-Qadisiyah FC's way at 64%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Al-Qadisiyah FC at 58%, a gap of 34 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Al Riyadh or Al-Qadisiyah FC?
Al-Qadisiyah FC, with an implied win probability of roughly 58%. The full split is 18% Al Riyadh, 24% the draw and 58% Al-Qadisiyah FC.
When and where is Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC being played?
29 October 2026 at Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Al Riyadh and Al-Qadisiyah FC?
Al Riyadh 0-4 Al-Qadisiyah FC on 29 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Al Riyadh and Al-Qadisiyah FC?
Al Riyadh have taken 8 points from their last five (WLDWD), Al-Qadisiyah FC 10 from theirs (LWWDW). Most recently Al Riyadh took a 2-1 win at home to Al Taawon and Al-Qadisiyah FC a 2-3 defeat at home to Al-Hilal Saudi FC.
How many goals are expected in Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.60 — 1.00 for Al Riyadh and 2.60 for Al-Qadisiyah FC. It rates over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.