Al Taawon vs Al-Ettifaq: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between Al Taawon and Al-Ettifaq on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Al Taawon host Al-Ettifaq on 31 October 2026 at King Abdullah Sports City, Buraidah. Al Taawon are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 37%. This matchday 12 fixture in Pro League is listed as Al Taawon - Al-Ettifaq. Kick-off is 13:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Al Taawon: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (55 scored and 45 conceded in 32 matches, 1.72 and 1.41 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 24.8 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -14.
Al-Ettifaq: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (46 scored and 55 conceded in 31 matches, 1.48 and 1.77 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 51.9 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +1.
Side by side
| Statistic | Al Taawon | Al-Ettifaq |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 17th | 7th |
| Goal difference | -14 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLDW | LWLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 5 | 7 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 32 | 31 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.72 / 1.41 | 1.48 / 1.77 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.47 | 1.32 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 24.8 | 51.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 37% | 36% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 4) | 1 | 2 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 4): Al Taawon one win, Al-Ettifaq two wins, one draw — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Al-Ettifaq 1-0 Al Taawon on 03 February 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.25 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in two of the four — broadly an average game for goals.
- Pre-match form ratings: Al Taawon 24.8 versus Al-Ettifaq 51.9, a gap of 27.1, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Al Taawon's way at 48%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Al Taawon is the nominal pick at 37%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Al Taawon's way, especially at King Abdullah Sports City.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Al Taawon or Al-Ettifaq?
Al Taawon, with an implied win probability of roughly 37%. The full split is 37% Al Taawon, 27% the draw and 36% Al-Ettifaq.
When and where is Al Taawon vs Al-Ettifaq being played?
31 October 2026 at King Abdullah Sports City, Buraidah, kick-off 13:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Al Taawon and Al-Ettifaq?
Al-Ettifaq 1-0 Al Taawon on 03 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Al Taawon and Al-Ettifaq?
Al Taawon have taken 7 points from their last five (WLLDW), Al-Ettifaq 9 from theirs (LWLWW). Most recently Al Taawon took a 2-0 win away at Al Faisaly and Al-Ettifaq a 0-3 defeat away at Erbil.
How many goals are expected in Al Taawon vs Al-Ettifaq?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 0.60 for Al Taawon and 1.60 for Al-Ettifaq. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.