Abha vs Al Shabab — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Al Shabab the pick at 53% for Abha vs Al Shabab. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Abha face Al Shabab on 5 November 2026 at Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Abha. Al Shabab are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 53%. This matchday 13 fixture in Pro League is listed as Abha - Al Shabab. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Abha: they come in on the back of a draw, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (3 scored and 9 conceded in seven matches, 0.43 and 1.29 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 28.7 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -12.
Al Shabab: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win and two draws before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 9 conceded in six matches, 1.83 and 1.5 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 62.9 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of +5.
Side by side
| Statistic | Abha | Al Shabab |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 18th | 10th |
| Goal difference | -12 | +5 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLLLD | WWDWD |
| Points from last 5 | 2 | 11 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 2 / 6 | 14 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.43 / 1.29 | 1.83 / 1.5 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.29 | 1.17 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 28.7 | 62.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 22% | 53% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Abha 28.7 versus Al Shabab 62.9, a gap of 34.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Al Shabab's way at 58%.
The call
The model tilts to Al Shabab at 53%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Al Shabab's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Abha or Al Shabab?
Al Shabab, with an implied win probability of roughly 53%. The full split is 22% Abha, 24% the draw and 53% Al Shabab.
When and where is Abha vs Al Shabab being played?
5 November 2026 at Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Abha, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Abha and Al Shabab met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Abha and Al Shabab?
Abha have taken 2 points from their last five (DLLLD), Al Shabab 11 from theirs (WWDWD). Most recently Abha took a 1-1 draw at home to Al-Ittihad FC and Al Shabab a 6-1 win at home to Al-Ahli Jeddah.
How many goals are expected in Abha vs Al Shabab?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 0.40 for Abha and 2.00 for Al Shabab. It rates over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.