Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the pick at 73% for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Al-Ahli Jeddah face Al Taawon on 5 November 2026 at King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah. Al-Ahli Jeddah are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 73%. This matchday 13 fixture in Pro League is listed as Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Taawon. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Al-Ahli Jeddah: they come in on the back of a defeat, following four wins before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (17 scored and 15 conceded in seven matches, 2.43 and 2.14 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 67.2 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +9.
Al Taawon: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (4 scored and 10 conceded in six matches, 0.67 and 1.67 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 28.2 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -14.
Side by side
| Statistic | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al Taawon |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 17th |
| Goal difference | +9 | -14 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWWW | DWLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 13 / 11 | 5 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 2.43 / 2.14 | 0.67 / 1.67 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.71 | 0.83 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 67.2 | 28.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 73% | 10% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 4) | 4 | 0 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 4): Al-Ahli Jeddah four wins, Al Taawon none wins, none draws — an edge to Al-Ahli Jeddah.
- Most recent meeting: Al Taawon 1-2 Al-Ahli Jeddah on 11 May 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.5 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in three of the four — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Al-Ahli Jeddah 67.2 versus Al Taawon 28.2, a gap of 39.1, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eleven places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Al-Ahli Jeddah's way at 73%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Al-Ahli Jeddah at 73%, a gap of 57 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Al-Ahli Jeddah's way, especially at King Abdullah Sports City.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Al-Ahli Jeddah or Al Taawon?
Al-Ahli Jeddah, with an implied win probability of roughly 73%. The full split is 73% Al-Ahli Jeddah, 17% the draw and 10% Al Taawon.
When and where is Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon being played?
5 November 2026 at King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al Taawon?
Al Taawon 1-2 Al-Ahli Jeddah on 11 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al Taawon?
Al-Ahli Jeddah have taken 12 points from their last five (LWWWW), Al Taawon 5 from theirs (DWLLD). Most recently Al-Ahli Jeddah took a 1-6 defeat away at Al Shabab and Al Taawon a 1-1 draw at home to Al-Ettifaq.
How many goals are expected in Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 2.40 for Al-Ahli Jeddah and 0.80 for Al Taawon. It rates over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.