Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr match summary and prediction — Pro League
Our model makes Al-Nassr the pick at 61% for Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Al-Nassr travel to Al-Hazm on 5 November 2026 at Al-Hazem Club Stadium, Ar Rass. Al-Nassr are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 61%. This matchday 13 fixture in Pro League is listed as Al-Hazm - Al-Nassr. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Al-Hazm: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 10 conceded in six matches, 1.33 and 1.67 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 30.2 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -6.
Al-Nassr: they come in on a four-match winning sequence. That is four wins, no draws and no defeats from the last four, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 12 conceded in six matches, 2.0 and 2.0 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 72.6 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +17.
Side by side
| Statistic | Al-Hazm | Al-Nassr |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | -6 | +17 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLLD | WWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 2 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 11 | 12 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.33 / 1.67 | 2.0 / 2.0 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 30.2 | 72.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 19% | 61% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 0 | 2 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Al-Hazm none wins, Al-Nassr two wins, none draws — an edge to Al-Nassr.
- Most recent meeting: Al-Nassr 4-0 Al-Hazm on 21 February 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in none of the two — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Al-Hazm 30.2 versus Al-Nassr 72.6, a gap of 42.4, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eleven places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.40, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Al-Nassr's way at 66%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Al-Nassr at 61%, a gap of 41 percentage points to the next outcome. Al-Nassr's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Al-Hazm or Al-Nassr?
Al-Nassr, with an implied win probability of roughly 61%. The full split is 19% Al-Hazm, 20% the draw and 61% Al-Nassr.
When and where is Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr being played?
5 November 2026 at Al-Hazem Club Stadium, Ar Rass, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Al-Hazm and Al-Nassr?
Al-Nassr 4-0 Al-Hazm on 21 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Al-Hazm and Al-Nassr?
Al-Hazm have taken 2 points from their last five (LDLLD), Al-Nassr 12 from theirs (WWWW). Most recently Al-Hazm took a 2-4 defeat away at Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Nassr a 5-3 win at home to Al Kholood.
How many goals are expected in Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.40 — 1.20 for Al-Hazm and 2.20 for Al-Nassr. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.