Al-Ittihad FC vs NEOM match summary and prediction — Pro League
Our model makes Al-Ittihad FC the pick at 63% for Al-Ittihad FC vs NEOM. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Al-Ittihad FC host NEOM on 5 November 2026 at King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah. Al-Ittihad FC are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 63%. This matchday 13 fixture in Pro League is listed as Al-Ittihad FC - NEOM. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Al-Ittihad FC: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (66 scored and 49 conceded in 37 matches, 1.78 and 1.32 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 60.8 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +10.
NEOM: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (38 scored and 43 conceded in 30 matches, 1.27 and 1.43 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 50.3 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +8.
Side by side
| Statistic | Al-Ittihad FC | NEOM |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 5th |
| Goal difference | +10 | +8 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWWWL | WLWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 5 | 5 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 37 | 30 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.78 / 1.32 | 1.27 / 1.43 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.73 | 1.3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 60.8 | 50.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 63% | 18% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 1 | 1 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Al-Ittihad FC one win, NEOM one win, none draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Al-Ittihad FC 3-4 NEOM on 08 April 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 5.5 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in all of them — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Al-Ittihad FC 60.8 versus NEOM 50.3, a gap of 10.5, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.60, over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Al-Ittihad FC's way at 66%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Al-Ittihad FC at 63%, a gap of 43 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Al-Ittihad FC's way, especially at King Abdullah Sports City.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Al-Ittihad FC or NEOM?
Al-Ittihad FC, with an implied win probability of roughly 63%. The full split is 63% Al-Ittihad FC, 19% the draw and 18% NEOM.
When and where is Al-Ittihad FC vs NEOM being played?
5 November 2026 at King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Al-Ittihad FC and NEOM?
Al-Ittihad FC 3-4 NEOM on 08 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Al-Ittihad FC and NEOM?
Al-Ittihad FC have taken 10 points from their last five (DWWWL), NEOM 6 from theirs (WLWLL). Most recently Al-Ittihad FC took a 1-1 draw away at Abha and NEOM a 2-1 win away at Al Diriyah.
How many goals are expected in Al-Ittihad FC vs NEOM?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.60 — 2.00 for Al-Ittihad FC and 2.60 for NEOM. It rates over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.