Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fayha: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Al-Qadisiyah FC the pick at 77% for Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fayha. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Al-Qadisiyah FC host Al-Fayha on 5 November 2026 at Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, Dammam. Al-Qadisiyah FC are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 77%. This matchday 13 fixture in Pro League is listed as Al-Qadisiyah FC - Al-Fayha. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Al-Qadisiyah FC: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (73 scored and 32 conceded in 31 matches, 2.35 and 1.03 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 70.0 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +20.
Al-Fayha: they come in on the back of a win, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (40 scored and 53 conceded in 32 matches, 1.25 and 1.66 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.7 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -4.
Side by side
| Statistic | Al-Qadisiyah FC | Al-Fayha |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 13th |
| Goal difference | +20 | -4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDLWW | WDLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 12 / 5 | 9 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 31 | 32 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 2.35 / 1.03 | 1.25 / 1.66 |
| Points per game (2025) | 2.26 | 1.12 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 70.0 | 40.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 77% | 9% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 4) | 3 | 1 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 4): Al-Qadisiyah FC three wins, Al-Fayha one win, none draws — an edge to Al-Qadisiyah FC.
- Most recent meeting: Al-Fayha 1-2 Al-Qadisiyah FC on 09 May 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.25 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in two of the four — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Al-Qadisiyah FC 70.0 versus Al-Fayha 40.7, a gap of 29.3, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eleven places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.80, over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Al-Qadisiyah FC's way at 73%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Al-Qadisiyah FC at 77%, a gap of 63 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Al-Qadisiyah FC's way, especially at Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Al-Qadisiyah FC or Al-Fayha?
Al-Qadisiyah FC, with an implied win probability of roughly 77%. The full split is 77% Al-Qadisiyah FC, 14% the draw and 9% Al-Fayha.
When and where is Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fayha being played?
5 November 2026 at Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, Dammam, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Fayha?
Al-Fayha 1-2 Al-Qadisiyah FC on 09 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Fayha?
Al-Qadisiyah FC have taken 10 points from their last five (WDLWW), Al-Fayha 5 from theirs (WDLLD). Most recently Al-Qadisiyah FC took a 6-0 win away at Al Riyadh and Al-Fayha a 4-1 win at home to Al-Faisaly FC.
How many goals are expected in Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fayha?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.80 — 3.00 for Al-Qadisiyah FC and 1.80 for Al-Fayha. It rates over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.