Apollon Limassol vs Pafos — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Pafos the pick at 44% for Apollon Limassol vs Pafos. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Apollon Limassol face Pafos on 31 October 2026 at Alphamega Stadium, Limassol. Pafos are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 44%. This matchday 8 fixture in 1. Division is listed as Apollon Limassol - Pafos. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Apollon Limassol: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored 14 and conceded eight, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 64.4 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +11.
Pafos: they come in on three successive draws, following one win and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those five they scored five and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.7 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +4.
Side by side
| Statistic | Apollon Limassol | Pafos |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 5th |
| Goal difference | +11 | +4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWLD | DDDLW |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 14 / 8 | 5 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 64.4 | 52.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 21% | 44% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Apollon Limassol 64.4 versus Pafos 52.7, a gap of 11.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.30, over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Pafos' way at 57%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Pafos at 44%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Apollon Limassol's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Apollon Limassol or Pafos?
Pafos, with an implied win probability of roughly 44%. The full split is 21% Apollon Limassol, 35% the draw and 44% Pafos.
When and where is Apollon Limassol vs Pafos being played?
31 October 2026 at Alphamega Stadium, Limassol, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Apollon Limassol and Pafos met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Apollon Limassol and Pafos?
Apollon Limassol have taken 10 points from their last five (WWWLD), Pafos 6 from theirs (DDDLW). Most recently Apollon Limassol took a 5-0 win away at Karmiotissa and Pafos a 0-0 draw away at Nea Salamis.
How many goals are expected in Apollon Limassol vs Pafos?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.30 — 1.50 for Apollon Limassol and 1.80 for Pafos. It rates over 2.5 goals at 42%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.