Krasava Ypsonas vs AEK Larnaca: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Krasava Ypsonas the pick at 43% for Krasava Ypsonas vs AEK Larnaca. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
AEK Larnaca travel to Krasava Ypsonas on 31 October 2026 at Stelios Chari Stadium, Ypsonas. Krasava Ypsonas are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This matchday 8 fixture in 1. Division is listed as Krasava Ypsonas - AEK Larnaca. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Krasava Ypsonas: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and two defeats from the last four, worth 4 points. Across those four they scored five and conceded nine, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 36.1 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -9.
AEK Larnaca: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two wins and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored ten and conceded three, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 60.3 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +8.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Krasava Ypsonas | AEK Larnaca |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 1st |
| Goal difference | -9 | +8 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWLL | WWDWW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 13 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 9 | 10 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 36.1 | 60.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 43% | 27% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Krasava Ypsonas 36.1 versus AEK Larnaca 60.3, a gap of 24.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: 13 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.15, over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 49%.
- First goal: Leans Krasava Ypsonas' way at 50%.
The call
The model edges towards Krasava Ypsonas at 43%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. AEK Larnaca's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Krasava Ypsonas's way, especially at Stelios Chari Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Krasava Ypsonas or AEK Larnaca?
Krasava Ypsonas, with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 43% Krasava Ypsonas, 31% the draw and 27% AEK Larnaca.
When and where is Krasava Ypsonas vs AEK Larnaca being played?
31 October 2026 at Stelios Chari Stadium, Ypsonas, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have Krasava Ypsonas and AEK Larnaca met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Krasava Ypsonas and AEK Larnaca?
Krasava Ypsonas have taken 4 points from their last four (DWLL), AEK Larnaca 13 from theirs (WWDWW). Most recently Krasava Ypsonas took a 1-1 draw away at Olympiakos and AEK Larnaca a 2-0 win at home to Omonia Nicosia.
How many goals are expected in Krasava Ypsonas vs AEK Larnaca?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.15 — 1.35 for Krasava Ypsonas and 0.80 for AEK Larnaca. It rates over 2.5 goals at 44%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 49%, so its call is no.